Replication market under evaluation

Kenya Plastic Waste Recovery Infrastructure & Recycling Data (2026)

The most developed recycled-material offtake market in East Africa, with mandatory extended producer responsibility creating funded demand for verified collection.

Model updated 2026

Country totals across profiled cities

Cities profiled
2Urban agglomerations modelled in this directory
Population covered
6.4million
Unmanaged plastic
224t / day
Informal collectors
7,500Estimated workforce already handling this material

Policy context: EPR regulations (2024) obligate producers to fund packaging recovery; plastic bags banned since 2017.

City profiles

Kenya — modelled unmanaged plastic leakage by city
CityPopulationUnmanaged plastic (t/day)PET (t/day)LDPE film (t/day)Hub target
Nairobi5.12M171.465.144.6205
Mombasa1.30M52.719.514.252

Methodology

How these figures are produced

  • Urban population from national statistics offices and UN-Habitat urban agglomeration estimates.
  • Municipal solid waste per capita from World Bank What a Waste 2.0 income-band and country figures.
  • Plastic share of the waste stream from national waste characterisation studies where available, otherwise the regional band (8–13%).
  • Unmanaged share from UNEP and OECD mismanaged-waste ratios for the country's collection coverage.
  • Polymer split from published characterisation of East and North African urban packaging streams.
  • Hub targets model one community aggregation point per ~25,000 residents; collector counts follow published informal-sector surveys.

These are transparent desk estimates, not field measurements. AfriloopX is pre-pilot: any figure will be replaced with primary, weighbridge-verified data once collection operates.

Working on plastic recovery in Kenya?

We share the full assumption set, source list and pilot design framework with municipal, donor and corporate partners.

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